Ravens should end Colts
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It took a last minute Steven Jackson Jersey miracle, but Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts kept their winning streak alive last week. In fact, the Colts are working on several streaks.
Indianapolis owns an 18 game regular season winning streak and is 9 0 for the third time in five years. Manning has led the Colts to five consecutive wins over Baltimore, two on the road.
On the downside, the Colts have failed to cover the spread in three consecutive games. They were dominated by New England a week ago, and staring at near certain defeat, until pulling out a 35 34 victory.
Las Vegas Hilton sports book director Jay Kornegay said he sees the Ravens stopping the streaking Colts today. The line has fluctuated all week, with Indianapolis a 11/2 point road favorite at some books and the game a pick em at others.
“We’ve seen a lot of action on both ends of it,” Kornegay said. “It’s a much bigger game for the Ravens than it is for the Colts, and the Colts have been doing it with a lot of smoke and mirrors of late.
“I still felt like the Colts lost that game last week, even though they got the win. When the final whistle blew, I still felt like the Patriots were up by 10 points.”
The Ravens will be without linebacker Terrell Suggs because of a right knee injury. Suggs, a three time Pro Bowl pick, will miss his first NFL game in seven years.
Assuming Manning moves the Colts offense as usual, Baltimore needs quarterback Joe Flacco to emerge from a minor slump.
“I think it’s a great spot for the Ravens, despite their injuries,” Kornegay said. “Manning does kind of own the Ravens, though, and that’s the X factor right there. But I can’t go off history.”
Kornegay analyzes the rest of today’s Week 11 lineup:
Cleveland at Detroit ( 31/2): Believe it or not, this is not going to be the least bet game on the board. It’s a close game as far as the spread is concerned, and it’s the first game on the board. The Browns are offensively inept. At least the Lions have a running back, Kevin Smith, who is running hard, and rookie quarterback Matthew Stafford can make some plays. I haven’t seen that from Brady Quinn or the Browns. You have to give the edge to the Lions. A lot of books are at 31/2, up www.nflfalconsofficial.com/Nike-Desmond-Trufant-Jersey.html from 3, and I agree with that line.
Buffalo at Jacksonville ( 81/2): It’s going to be interesting to see how the Bills react to the firing of coach Dick Jauron. It’s always a breath of fresh air to change your pace, and in this case change your coach, when you’re struggling through the season. It can’t get any worse, so you think that’s going to help out a little bit. Running back Maurice Jones Drew is finally coming on and the Jaguars are playing some of their best football.
Pittsburgh ( 10) at Kansas City: You look at the Steelers, and I still think they are one of the top teams in the league despite losing to the Bengals twice. It has been awhile since Kansas City was tough at home. It used to be whenever you had the Chiefs as a home ‘dog, you would always play the Chiefs. They did make the right choice by getting rid of Larry Johnson. But quarterback Matt Cassel has been very disappointing and real inconsistent, and now he doesn’t have top receiver Dwayne Bowe. But I don’t like laying big points with the Steelers, and I don’t think it’s a real good spot for them.
Atlanta at New York Giants ( 7): If you would have looked at this game two weeks ago and Falcons running back Michael Turner was out, you might have thought that was worth 3 or 31/2 points to the spread. But Jason Snelling came in last week and performed very well as Turner’s backup, so it’s not worth that much. People continue to bet the Giants, and they are getting some players healthy, but I can’t say I would be in favor of laying those points.
San Francisco at Green Bay ( 61/2): All of a sudden, the Tony Gonzalez Jersey Packers defense showed up last week and shut down the Cowboys, and I don’t think anyone expected that. You can’t figure out some of these teams from week to week, and the Packers are one of those teams for me. There was a lot of optimism in Green Bay at the beginning of the season, but Aaron Rodgers is holding onto the ball too much and he’s been sacked 41 times. The 49ers have been good on the road.
Seattle at Minnesota ( 11): The Vikings have a huge following now. They are so popular it’s ridiculous. Seahawks running back Justin Forsett has a lot of quickness and a lot of moves, and he www.nflfalconsofficial.com/Nike-Robert-Alford-Jersey.html might give them a boost here. But you have to anticipate the money coming in on the Vikings every week, because of Brett Favre and their success. We’ve always adjusted the line expecting most of the parlays, smaller bets and ticket counts in favor of Minnesota.
Washington at Dallas ( 11): I don’t think this is a good spot for the Redskins after their win against Denver. The 27 17 score was deceiving because of the Broncos’ QB situation. I don’t think the Washington running attack is back without Clinton Portis. I think the Redskins are going to get stuffed in Dallas.
New Orleans ( 101/2) at Tampa Bay: The Saints failed to cover their past three games, and their defense is starting to show its true colors. The defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone, and that’s the main reason New Orleans is not covering now. Drew Brees continues to put up some numbers, but the Saints should be concerned about their defense. Rookie QB Josh Freeman fumbled four times last week, but he’s making some plays. If he cuts down on some turnovers, the Bucs should be in this game.
Arizona ( 9) at St. Louis: The Cardinals look like one of the better teams in the NFL when they want to do it. Other times, they just turn the light switch off and it’s not there. The Rams play real hard. Could you imagine if Steven Jackson was on a good team? He would be awesome. His intensity has propelled the rest of the team to play hard. You just don’t know which Arizona team you’re going to see. If the Cardinals go through the motions, they’re going to be in trouble. I would go with the Rams.
New York Jets at New England ( 101/2): If I were to pick a team out of the Tony Gonzalez Red Jersey AFC to go to the Super Bowl, I would pick the Patriots right now. They are so efficient and they do everything pretty well. Every week Tom Brady is looking better. The Jets still have issues, and rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez is regressing. They have to rely on their defense to stay in the game because Sanchez is not going to make that many plays and he turns the ball over too many times. I can’t see the Jets staying close to the Patriots. New England is going to totally forget about last week and prove to everybody it’s still one of the top teams.
Cincinnati ( 91/2) at Oakland: Bruce Gradkowski is starting at quarterback, and by benching JaMarcus Russell, that’s a big boost for the Raiders. It’s a bad spot for the Bengals, but they’re lucky to be going to Oakland. The Raiders can at times play really hard at home. If you go in there flat and you give them a little bit of hope, you’re in for a dogfight. The Bengals could lay an egg here. Look to the home ‘dog.
San Diego ( 31/2) at Denver: This is all revolving around Broncos quarterback Kyle Orton. If Orton was playing, this line would be close to a pick em. But because he’s not playing or doubtful, you’re going to see the Chargers favored by 31/2 or 4. The line has been off the board most of the week. Chris Simms hasn’t really played since 2006, and he looked rusty last week. I don’t think a week of practice is suddenly going to change things for him. This is a tough spot for the Broncos, and I know the Chargers smell blood. These teams are going in opposite directions.
Philadelphia ( 3) at Chicago: These two teams drive everybody crazy, not only the bettors but the bookmakers, because they’re so inconsistent. The Eagles looked horrible in the first half last week at San Diego, then they found a rhythm and moved the ball. Eagles running back LeSean McCoy is getting better, and they just have more weapons. After losing that game to the Chargers, this is a huge game for the Eagles.
Today at Santa AnitaCLARK TOPS WESTERN IN GIRLS.
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